May 11 ,2026
Synopsis
European equity markets set to open broadly mixed/little changed. Oil higher. US-Iran talks hit a familiar roadblock after President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal, which appeared to fall far short of US demands. Two sides remain apart on nuclear issue with Iran reportedly offering only partial handover of HEU stockpiles to third country and much shorter enrichment moratorium, while continuing to assert right over Strait of Hormuz. Developments leave two sides at stalemate with US maintaining blockade, Iran preventing shipping through Strait of Hormuz and Trump reportedly reluctant to restart military action.
Asian equities mixed Monday. South Korea staging another rally amid large gains in memory stocks. Asian majors taking cues from Friday's tech rally in US, where SOX closed up 5.5% amid massive gains in INTC and MU. China inflation data showed larger-than-expected pickup in factory-gate inflation, reflecting surge in raw material prices. CPI inflation unexpectedly firmed. Comes after April trade data showed export growth much stronger than expected, tracking PMI data showing momentum in new export orders. However, some note of caution with export strength considered function of stockpiling amid Iran war uncertainty. Import growth came in higher than expected, though crude imports were down sharply.
Focus on UK political situation. UK PM Starmer will seek to reset his premiership in a speech on Monday, after heavy election losses left him facing renewed calls to quit (BBC ). Starmer's speech is expected late morning UK time.
Meanwhile, in Denmark, the king has asked centre-right leader Troels Lund Poulsen to try to form a government after PM Mette Frederiksen failed to build a coalition. Marks a significant moment, as Frederiksen has been a dominant figure in Danish politics for years.
European macro data releases include Denmark Apr CPI, Mar trade balance, Norway Apr CPI, PPI, Greece Mar industrial production
In central banks, Norges Bank's Longva lecture to the regional network northwest of Ålesund at 9:00CET the same time as Czech central bank publishes latest monetary policy report includes current outlook/forecasts, related meeting with analysts (webcast link) at 11:00CET. Denmark central bank's Thomsen panellist at 9:15CET at event (webcast link) on the International Monetary System organised by SNB. German-American Conf sees among the speakers Bundesbank's Mauderer at 18:15CET. Also, see the first of the ECB economic bulletin pre-release at 10:00CET. In politics, reportedly, in a speech during the morning, UK PM Starmer will look to reset his government's agenda and stave off calls for him to resign after disastrous local election results for his Party. Closer ties with the EU seen as a plank of vision aimed at appeasing Labour MPs. There's the first EU-Syria high-level political dialogue and EU foreign ministers meet, chaired by EU's Kallas. Also, Kenya and France host the "Africa Forward" Summit, Norway's minister of energy Aasland at a cooperation forum for offshore wind at 12noon CET where participants will provide input to the government's plan for offshore wind and holds a digital meeting at 16:00 with County Council Leaders in Nordland, Troms and Finnmark on the power and grid situation in Northern Norway. Also, Norway's PM Støre will attend the central board meeting of the Labour Party at 13:00CET, EU's Hoekstra, will be in Lisbon, to discuss the clean transition and competitiveness in the EU with government representatives and industry and EU's Kubilius participates in the discussion "How Will We Defend the European Union Eastern Flank?"
On the earnings front, Hannover Re posted Q1 net income of €710.6M, slightly below consensus, but confirmed its full-year guidance, while GEA Group delivered in-line Q1 adjusted EBITDA and also reaffirmed its FY26 outlook. Compass Group, Hochtief and Mediobanca among other notable names reporting today. On the M&A side, the headline story comes from Italy, where Armani is reportedly considering splitting a 15% stake equally among luxury giants L'Oréal, EssilorLuxottica, and LVMH, according to La Repubblica. In a separate transaction, Prosus sold a 15.2M share stake in Delivery Hero to Aspex Management at €22.00 per share. On the ratings front, notable upgrades included BP (to outperform at RBC), NatWest Group (to outperform at BNP Paribas Exane, ams-OSRAM (to buy at Jefferies), and EDP Renovaveis (to buy at HSBC), while MTU Aero Engines was downgraded to hold at Berenberg and HelloFresh cut to sell at Stifel.
Politics/Macro/World News
Geopolitics
UK, France to Host Multinational Meeting on Mission to Escort Ships Through Hormuz -- Bloomberg
Central banks
UK
France
Former PM Philippe launches presidential campaign to take on far right in France -- POLITICO
Denmark
Danish rightwing leader Troels Lund Poulsen asked to form government after Frederiksen fails to form coalition -- Guardian
Top company news
Earnings/updates
DIA.IM (Diasorin) -- reports Q1 adjusted net income €49M vs FactSet €46.0M
G1A.GR (GEA Group) -- reports Q1 adj EBITDA €205.9M vs consensus €205.2M; FY26 guidance confirmed
HNR1.GR (Hannover Re) -- reports Q1 net income €710.6M vs consensus €721M; confirms FY guidance
ENX.FP (Euronext) -- Apr trading activity
SBS.GR (Stratec) -- reports Q1 adjusted EPS (€0.09) vs FactSet €0.00 [1 est]
SDF.GR (K+S) -- reports Q1 EBITDA €279M vs 22-Apr guidance ~€280M and FactSet €252.5M [6 est, €221-280.4M] (
NDA.GR (Aurubis) -- confirms prelim H1 earnings and FY26 outlook as per 8-May update
ALM.SM (Almirall) --- reports Q1 net income €16.1M vs FactSet €16.7M [5 est, €13-19.2M]
NCH2.GR (thyssenkrupp nucera) -- reports preliminary Q2 EBIT (€65M) vs FactSet (€47.3M) [1 est]
Also reporting today
Earnings:
DACHs: Hochtief (HOT.GR), TKMS (TKMS.GR), Patrizia (PAT.GR), Hypoport (HYQ.GR), adesso (ADN1.GR), JDC Group (JDC.GR), Stratec (SBS.GR), Data Modul (DAM.GR), q.beyond (QBY0.GR)
France: Cellectis SA (ALCLS.FP)
Nordics: AcadeMedia (ACAD.SS)
Other: Turkcell (TCELL.E.TI), Bank of Cyprus Holdings (BOCH.CY)
Southern Europe: Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (BMPS.IM), Mediobanca (MB.IM), Fincantieri (FCT.IM), Iren (IRE.IM), Pharmanutra (PHN.IM), SECO (IOT.IM), BFF Bank (BFF.IM), Valsoia (VLS.IM), NOS (NOS.PL)
UK: Compass Group (CPG.LN), Victrex (VCT.LN)
Traffic: Heathrow Airport (+HTR.LN)
M&A
Armani could split 15% stake equally among preferred buyers L'Oreal, EssilorLuxottica and LVMH - La Repubblica
Healthcare
GMAB.DC (Genmab) -- holder orbis Investment Management discloses increased stake of 5.08%
1177.HK (Sino Biopharmaceutical) -- subsidiary enters into exclusive strategic collaboration with GlaxoSmithKline to accelerate bepirovirsen in China at launch
Other
WHA.NA (Wereldhave) -- CFO Marcel Eggenkamp steps down; to hand over responsibilities in coming period
TGS.NO (TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Co.) -- awarded OBN Contract in Gulf of America
DHER.GR (Delivery Hero) -- Prosus sells 15.2M shares in Delivery Hero to Aspex Management, sale price is €22.00 per share
ACEN Corp.'s Yindjibarndi Energy signs 30-year PPA with Rio Tinto for Jinbi Solar Project
Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $162.1M, +92.9% y/y - Box Office Mojo
Henkel ends PRIL and Fa brand licence agreements with Jyothy Labs in India after 31-May
Regional Gaming Revenues - New York Sports Betting April 2026
Space names extend gains on back of Rocket Lab results; Anthropic identified in Akamai deal in intraday themes (8-May)
Key rating changes
Upgrades
BP.LN (BP) -- to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital Markets
NWG.LN (NatWest Group) -- to outperform from neutral at BNP Paribas Exane
HOT.GR (Hochtief) -- to hold from reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux
AMS.SW (ams-OSRAM) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies
EDPR.PL (EDP Renovaveis) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
HAUTO.NO (Höegh Autoliners) -- to hold from sell at ABG Sundal Collier
BALD.B.SS (Fastighets Balder) -- to buy from hold at Handelsbanken
Downgrades
MTX.GR (MTU Aero Engines) -- to hold from buy at Berenberg
HFG.GR (HelloFresh) -- to sell from hold at Stifel
TOM.NO (Tomra Systems) -- to sell from hold at Handelsbanken
MAIRE.IM (MAIRE) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane
Data
Nikkei (0.40%) to 62465.54
Hang Seng (0.23%) to 26331.88
Shanghai Composite +0.78% to 4212.41
S&P futures (7.5) vs prior close of 7419.0
€-$ (0.0002) or (0.02%) to 1.1752
$-¥ +0.52 or +0.33% to 157.12
€-¥ +0.62 or +0.34% to 184.66
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