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StreetAccount Summary - Europe Pre-Open: FTSE +0.3%, DAX +0.2%, CAC +0.4%

Oct 26 ,2026

  • Synopsis

    • European equity markets set to open broadly higher following last week's losses when the Stoxx Europe 600 closed down (1.39%) for the week. European markets spent the week under pressure from French fiscal stress, energy spikes and growing doubts over the AI investment boom.

    • Some good news for France after Moody's held France's credit rating steady. The sovereign debt rating was maintained at Aa3. Treasury yields pulling back amid rally in French OAT futures. Oil pulling back from one-month high as expectations of a resumption of US-Iran conflict continue to build. President Trump repeated he is nearing decision on whether to resume hostilities unless Iran agrees to a deal. Diplomacy remains at a standstill with Iran sticking to its demands for reopening Strait of Hormuz and refusing to discuss nuclear file. Lot of discussion about economic ramifications with Iran threatening targets across Middle East if it is attacked.

    • In other developments, pre-market trading in Brazilian assets signaling volatile Monday session following Lula's surprise election victory.

    • Central bank decisions also in focus this week with Fed, ECB and BoJ updates this week, though all three are expected to leave policy unchanged. RBNZ and BOC both expected to hike.

    • European macro data releases out today include Germany Oct business climate - Ifo, Spain Sep PPI, UK Oct distributive trades - CBI, Sweden Sep PPI. Finland Sep PPI comes in at +9.8% y/y vs consensus +7.8% and prior +7.3%.

    • In central banks, ECB's Elderson speech at 7:00CET at Finance and Biodiversity Day at 17th meeting of the Conf. of the Parties to the CBD (COP17). Bundesbank's Lienenkämper speech at 10:00CET at Conf. on the Regulation of Securities Institutions in the Capital Markets Union. Bundesbank's Köhler-Geib panellist at 18:50CET at AI Week Frankfurt. Bank of Italy's Angelini opening remarks at Africa Growth and Opportunity: Research in Action 2026 Conf (AGORA 26). Chancellor Merz begins a visit to Singapore, Japan, and South Korea (through Fri). In the UK, immigration kicks-off MP's topics before they debate the performance of the Royal Mail and the emerging risks of advanced AI. Committee topics include COP31 at 14:45GMT. EU's Kallas attends the E5 defence ministers' meeting

    • A relatively quiet Monday for earnings, with Galp (GALP.PL) among the main mover, beating Q3 expectations and raising FY26 EBITDA and operating cash flow guidance. Galp and Moeve also confirmed they have ended talks on a potential downstream combination On further M&A, Frasers Group (FRAS.LN) confirmed it has crossed the 50% ownership threshold in Hugo Boss (BOSS.GR), a significant development that brings consolidation effects onto Frasers' balance sheet. Barclays (BARC.LN) attracted weekend speculation in the Mail on Sunday suggesting its low valuation could make it a takeover target. . In healthcare, a busy ESMO congress is generating newsflow, with AstraZeneca (AZN.LN) presenting multiple positive datasets across bladder cancer and gastric cancer, while Amgen (AMGN) reported strong survival data for Imdelltra in small cell lung cancer. Notable broker moves include Telefonica (TEF.SM) cut to Underweight at JPMorgan, Munich Re (MUV2.GR) downgraded at BNP Paribas Exane.

    • Note Austrian markets closed for National Day.

  • Politics/Macro/World News

    • France

      • France avoids downgrade from Moody's in boost for Macron's government; maintains sovereign debt rating at Aa3 (FT , Le Monde )

      • French presidential hopeful Philippe slips in new poll (POLITICO)

      • French protest groups demand more rallies as Macron faces tough choices

    • Iran

      • Trump nearing decision on whether to strike Iran:

    • EU

      • EU weighs mirroring Donald Trump in securing critical minerals (FT)

      • Euro-Zone Slowdown Will Help Keep ECB Rates on Hold for Now (BBG )

    • UK

      • Poorest pensioners set to be shielded from income tax in budget (Times )

    • Germany

      • Germany To Tap Ukrainian Tech With Missile Purchase (FT )

    • Brazil

      • Lula wins Brazil presidential election

      • Brazilian markets brace for steep losses following Lula's surprise election victory:

    • Serbia

      • Celebrations in Serbia after veteran ruler Vučić loses election to student-led protest movement (BBC )

  • Top company news

    • Earnings/updates

      • PNL.NA (PostNL) -- reports Q3 revenue €768M vs year-ago €762M; confirms FY26 outlook

      • SPSN.SW Swiss Prime Site targets Funds from operations (FFO I) per share to grow by more than 15% by 2030; raises 2026 guidance -- CMD

      • GALP.PL (Galp Energia SGPS) -- reports Q3 RCA net income €682M vs consensus €634M; rasies FY26 RCA EBITDA and OCF guidance

        • Also reporting today

          • Earnings: Nordics: Alleima (ALLEI.SS)

          • Southern Europe: Sogefi (SGF.IM), Iberpapel Gestion (IBG.SM)

          • UK: Bioventix (BVXP.LN)

        • Trading Update:

          • Benelux: MotorK (MTRK.NA)

          • France: Verimatrix (VMX.FP)

          • Southern Europe: Puig Brands (PUIG.SM), Distribuidora Internacional De Alimentacion (DIA.SM)

    • M&A

      • GALP.PL (Galp) -- and Moeve confrim they ended negotiations on a potential downstream combination

      • BARC.LN (Barclays) -- Given its low share price, someone may try to buy Barclays - Mail on Sunday

      • AAL.LN (Anglo American) -- MMG offers EC new remedies with regards to purchase of Anglo American's nickel

      • BOSS.GR (Hugo Boss), FRAS.LN (Frasers Group) -- provides update on investment in Hugo Boss; completes 50% threshold transaction, includes details & consolidation effects

      • business - Bloomberg

      • KNEBV.FH (Kone) -- seeking to retain TK Elevator operations in Spain, Portugal - FT

      • MUX.GR (Mutares SE & Co KGaA) -- divests Stuart to Quiver; terms undisclosed

      • SIKA.SW (Sika Group) -- Sika acquires Dubai-based manufacturer of waterproofing membranes Duproof; price not disclosed

      • ENDUR.NO (Endúr) -- subsidiary BMO to acquire 100% of the shares in Notech AS

      • ELV.AU (Elevra Lithium) -- completes sale of rights and interests in Ewoyaa lithium project to Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt

      • 603799.CH (Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt) -- completes acquisition of Atlantic Lithium Singapore from Piedmont Lithium

      • EVR.GA (I. Kloukinas-I. Lappas Construction & Commerce) -- CrediaBank and Evropi merger expected to complete on or ~30-Oct; Evropi's shares last day of trading on Euronext Athens is 26-Oct (post EU close 23-Oct)

      • Veritas Capital exploring sale of Chromalloy at potential $10B+ valuation -- Bloomberg

    • Healthcare

      • AMGN (Amgen) -- announces IMDELLTRA in combination with IMFINZI reduced risk of death by 58% in first-line extensive stage small cell lung cancer

      • ABBV (AbbVie) -- announces FDA approval of subcutaneous induction regimen for SKYRIZI (risankizumab-rzaa) for adults with moderately to severely active Crohn's Disease

      • AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- announces perioperative IMFINZI (durvalumab) plus neoadjuvant enfortumab vedotin reduced risk of recurrence by 49% and risk of death by 42% in muscle-invasive bladder cancer

      • AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- presents, publishes results from SAFFRON Phase III trial of TAGRISSO

      • AZN.LN (AstraZeneca) -- reports results from Phase III CLARITY-Gastric01 trial of Sone-Ve at ESMO

      • REGN (Regeneron) -- presents new longer-term data on Libtayo at ESMO

      • NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- Transcript Intelligence: Novartis at ACTRIMS & ECTRIMS Meeting

      • NOVO.B.DC (Novo Nordisk) -- FDA approves Awiqli for pediatric patients 10 years and older

      • ROP.SW (Roche Holding) -- presents interim Phase III data showing Sefaxersen significantly reduced proteinuria in people with IgA Nephropathy (IgAN)

      • ROP.SW (Roche Holding) -- Genentech presents, publishes pivotal results from Phase III Krascendo 1 study of divarasib

      • BAYN.GR (Bayer AG) -- Bayer presents late-breaking data on darolutamide at ESMO

      • GMAB.DC (Genmab) -- presents updated follow-up analyses from trial of petosemtamab at ESMO

      • IDIA.SW (Idorsia) -- to pursue new development program for daridorexant in ASD; program details expected in H1 of 2027 following discussions with health authorities

      • NANO.FP (Nanobiotix) -- presents updated results from Study 1100 of JNJ-1900 (NBTXR3) at ESMO

      • HNSA.SS (Hansa Biopharma) -- announces data from the European post-authorization efficacy and safety (PAES) study of Idefirix (imlifidase)

      • BINV.SS (BioInvent International) -- BioInvent International's BI-1808 and KEYTRUDA induce durable responses in heavily pretreated platinum-resistant ovarian cancer

    • Other

      • BORR.NO (Borr Drilling) -- Prospector 5 drilling rig sinks; five people remain unaccounted for

      • BP to make $350M payment to Louisiana to resolve 2015 Deepwater Horizon Economic Damages Settlement

      • Estimated weekend box office revenues in US, Canada $98.2M, +29.6% y/y - Box Office Mojo

      • RF.FP (Eurazeo) -- board appoints Christophe Bavière as Chairman of the Executive board and CEO

  • Key rating changes

    • Upgrades

      • AVIO.IM (Avio) -- to buy from hold at Berenberg

      • HIAB.FH (Hiab) -- to buy from hold at SEB

      • NHY.NO (Norsk Hydro) -- to hold from sell at ABG Sundal Collier

      • NHY.NO (Norsk Hydro) -- to hold from sell at SEB

      • ORNBV.FH (Orion) -- to buy from hold at Jefferies

    • Downgrades

      • DB1.GR (Deutsche Börse) -- to neutral from outperform at Oddo

      • NHY.NO (Norsk Hydro) -- to neutral from buy at Goldman Sachs

      • SAAB.B.SS (Saab) -- to hold from buy at DNB Carnegie

      • SCA.B.SS (Svenska Cellulosa) -- to hold from buy at Pareto

      • SCA.B.SS (Svenska Cellulosa) -- to hold from buy at Jefferies

      • MUV2.GR (Munich Re) -- to neutral from outperform at BNP Paribas Exane

      • TEF.SM (Telefonica) -- to underweight from neutral at JPMorgan

    • Initiations

      • BC.IM (Brunello Cucinelli) -- outperform at CLSA

  • Data

    • Nikkei (0.80%) to 62189.65

    • Hang Seng +0.51% to 23210.30

    • Shanghai Composite +0.00% to 3690.50

    • S&P futures +6.0 vs prior close of 7659.8

    • €-$ (0.0007) or (0.06%) to 1.1217

    • $-¥ (0.05) or (0.03%) to 156.93

    • €-¥ (0.18) or (0.10%) to 176.02

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